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Mega Lopunny ex — Phantasmal Flames #115
Pull rate1 in 211 packs
Cost to pull~$2,568
Released2025-11

Mega Lopunny ex

Phantasmal Flames · #115 · UR
$1.63fair value $1.76
▼ 8% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−18%Sales−33%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.59▼ −$0.91 (−36.4%)past 90 days
$1.94$2.27$2.59$1.59
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.59 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −69% expected return.Raw $1.63 → PSA 10 $32.40 · 19.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.63———High
PSA10$32.4019.9×$31.94 · Oct 253High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 21% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$25.0015.3×$26.00 · Oct 264High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$15.609.6×$12.00 · Oct 267High
TAG10$43.8826.9×$59.99 · May 300Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate60.8%
PSA graded2,153
PSA 10
1,31060.8%
PSA 9
72333.6%
PSA 8
904.2%
PSA 7
150.7%
6 & below
150.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC515 graded · 58.1% top · 133 Pristine
BGS24 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings585571 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week25▼ 33.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 28Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
30/100Avoid

Mega Lopunny ex earns a 30/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 8% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Phantasmal Flames by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-75%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.8
Scarcity
2.8
Stability
4.5
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