Mega Zeraora ex
Pitch Black · #114 · SIR$34.28fair value $19.11
▲ 79% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−43%Sales−40%Listings−7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$34.28▼ −$37.90 (−52.5%)past 90 days
$47$59$71$34.28
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $34.28 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +17% expected return.Raw $34.28 → PSA 10 $255.50 · 7.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$34.28———High
PSA10$255.507.5×$255.50 · Oct 257High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$239.007.0×$230.00 · Oct 32Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$94.002.7×$72.00 · Oct 2610High
ACE10$78.062.3×$75.99 · Oct 192Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate55.6%
PSA graded27
PSA 10
1555.6%
PSA 9
1244.4%
PSA 8
00%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
00%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC53 graded · 54.7% top · 7 Pristine
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+87%if it gems≈ $99.71 net per card
Raw cost$34.28
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate56%break-even 45%
Slab market$255.50
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 56% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1056%$213.99PSA 944%$34.28PSA 80%$34.287 or lower0%$34.28
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $134.20 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings244223 sellers · -16% vs 7d
Sold / week17▼ 40.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 28
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
28/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Mega Zeraora ex earns a 28/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 79% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Pitch Black. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 38% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 28%
Grading edge+38%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.2
Scarcity
3.5
Stability
0.0
