Mega Darkrai ex
Pitch Black · #116 · SIR$141.46fair value $113.14
▲ 25% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Supply SqueezeAvailable listings are drying up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−38%Sales+10%Listings−16%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$141.35▼ −$136.73 (−49.2%)past 90 days
$187$228$269$141.35
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $141.35 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +103% expected return.Raw $141.46 → PSA 10 $713.75 · 5.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$141.46———High
PSA10$713.755.0×$800.00 · Oct 2539High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$790.005.6×$1,199.99 · Oct 173Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$452.503.2×$252.00 · Oct 2511High
BGS10$1,299.999.2×$1,299.99 · Oct 111Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate63.4%
PSA graded648
PSA 10
41163.4%
PSA 9
18829%
PSA 8
385.9%
PSA 7
71.1%
6 & below
40.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC165 graded · 50.3% top · 23 Pristine
BGS165 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+170%if it gems≈ $376.34 net per card
Raw cost$141.46
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate63%break-even 7%
Slab market$713.75
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 63% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1063%$597.80PSA 929%$203.75PSA 86%$148.507 or lower2%$141.46
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $448.47 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings192173 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week19▲ 9.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure10% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -16%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 24Oct 28
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
43/100Watch
S+SABCDF
Mega Darkrai ex earns a 43/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 25% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Pitch Black. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 127% ROI. It trades actively.
30-day move▼ 18%
Grading edge+127%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.7
Scarcity
4.4
Stability
2.3
