Mega Darkrai ex
Pitch Black · #120 · MHR$125.34fair value $116.98
▲ 7% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−41%Sales−55%Listings−7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$125.14▼ −$64.23 (−33.9%)past 90 days
$148$166$185$125.14
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $125.14 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +86% expected return.Raw $125.34 → PSA 10 $1,211.00 · 9.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$125.34———High
PSA10$1,211.009.7×$1,375.00 · Oct 2712High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$775.006.2×$800.00 · Oct 152Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$374.503.0×$449.49 · Oct 279Med
ACE10$598.764.8×—0Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate23.6%
PSA graded123
PSA 10
2923.6%
PSA 9
6855.3%
PSA 8
2016.3%
PSA 7
21.6%
6 & below
43.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC199 graded · 35.2% top · 8 Pristine
BGS47 graded · 0% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+394%if it gems≈ $808.92 net per card
Raw cost$125.34
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate24%break-even 2%
Slab market$1,211.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 24% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1024%$1,014.26PSA 955%$209.62PSA 816%$125.347 or lower5%$125.34
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $381.68 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings137124 sellers · +8% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 54.5% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 12Oct 28
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
B
57/100Solid hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Darkrai ex earns a 57/100 investment score and a B grade (solid hold). It's trading 7% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Pitch Black. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 86% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 15%
Grading edge+86%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.2
Scarcity
9.9
Stability
3.0
