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Feebas — Surging Sparks #198
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Feebas

Surging Sparks · #198 · IR
$7.47fair value $17.76
▼ 58% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+0%Sales−28%Listings+0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$7.63▼ −$2.30 (−23.2%)past 90 days
$8.27$9.15$10.02$7.63
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $7.63 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −25% expected return.Raw $7.47 → PSA 10 $152.97 · 20.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$7.47———High
PSA10$152.9720.5×$165.94 · Oct 157High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$85.0011.4×$120.00 · Aug 120Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$39.975.3×$17.35 · Sep 283High
SGC10$59.007.9×$59.00 · Jul 180Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate34.3%
PSA graded5,845
PSA 10
2,00734.3%
PSA 9
3,11353.3%
PSA 8
62110.6%
PSA 7
621.1%
6 & below
420.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC506 graded · 55.1% top · 40 Pristine
BGS69 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 21.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings327310 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week14▼ 27.7% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 20Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
47/100Fair hold

Feebas earns a 47/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 58% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-34%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.0
Scarcity
6.0
Stability
6.6
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