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Feebas

Surging Sparks · #198 · IR

Feebas — Surging Sparks #198

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$8.63

DISCOUNT −57%

Modeled fair value $20.02

Trading well below fundamentals.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Demand Fading Demand is softening.

Sales −30% · Listings +3% · Price +13%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is cheap against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks rich against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,373
Released2024-11
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

CFair hold
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
-35%
Time Window
30d

Feebas earns a 47/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 57% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    4.2
  • Scarcity
    5.9
  • Stability
    6.1

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 22 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $215.00 · Sep 4, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$8.63
High4 sold · 30dno recent sale
PSA logo10$149.0017.3×
High12 sold · 30dlast $215 · Sep 4
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $43.005.0×
High3 sold · 30dlast $60 · Aug 19
SGC logo10$59.006.8×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $59 · Jul 18
TAG logo10$115.0013.3×
Med2 sold · 30dlast $110 · Aug 27
ACE logo10$70.978.2×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $83 · Jul 31

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate34.6%
Graded5,766
  • PSA 101,99534.6%
  • PSA 93,06553.2%
  • PSA 860510.5%
  • PSA 7601%
  • 6 & below410.7%
Other graders
CGC48055.4% top · 40 Pristine
BGS680% top
SGC1323.1% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
281
267 TCGplayer sellers · +6% vs 7d
Sold / wk
24
▼ 29.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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