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Flapple — Surging Sparks #210
Pull rate1 in 300 packs
Cost to pull~$2,661
Released2024-11

Flapple

Surging Sparks · #210 · IR
$4.39fair value $2.58
▲ 70% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+12%Sales−15%Listings+2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.45▲ +$0.35 (+8.5%)past 90 days
$4.10$4.91$5.32$4.45
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.45 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −69% expected return.Raw $4.39 → PSA 10 $52.00 · 11.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.39———High
PSA10$52.0011.8×$43.00 · Oct 12High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$32.407.4×$39.99 · Jun 50Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$17.754.0×$16.80 · Oct 191High
TAG10$52.5012.0×$60.00 · Jun 210Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate30.2%
PSA graded1,383
PSA 10
41730.2%
PSA 9
79257.3%
PSA 8
15611.3%
PSA 7
141%
6 & below
40.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC425 graded · 47.3% top · 32 Pristine
BGS26 graded · 0% top
SGC13 graded · 23.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings414397 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 14.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 19Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Flapple earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 70% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Surging Sparks by price. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.7
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
7.4
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