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Lisia's Appeal — Surging Sparks #234
Pull rate1 in 312 packs
Cost to pull~$2,767
Released2024-11

Lisia's Appeal

Surging Sparks · #234 · UR
$2.89fair value $2.98
≈ at fairPriced about right.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+3%Sales−21%Listings−0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.88▼ −$1.12 (−28.0%)past 90 days
$3.25$3.74$4.23$2.88
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.88 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −70% expected return.Raw $2.89 → PSA 10 $48.13 · 16.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.89———High
PSA10$48.1316.6×$35.00 · Oct 44High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$55.2019.1×$27.60 · Sep 70Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$23.008.0×$26.00 · Sep 291High
TAG10$50.0017.3×$45.00 · Sep 131Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate25.4%
PSA graded3,782
PSA 10
96125.4%
PSA 9
2,17057.4%
PSA 8
57215.1%
PSA 7
491.3%
6 & below
300.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC443 graded · 43.6% top · 42 Pristine
BGS75 graded · 0% top
SGC22 graded · 45.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings440422 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week18▼ 21.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
40/100Watch

Lisia's Appeal earns a 40/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 3% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Surging Sparks. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.3
Scarcity
7.0
Stability
8.1
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