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Lapras VMAX — Sword & Shield #50
Pull rate1 in 182 packs
Cost to pull~$2,213
Released2020-02

Lapras VMAX

Sword & Shield · #50 · HVM
$5.71fair value $4.08
▲ 40% overPriced above fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales+133%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$5.45▼ −$0.28 (−4.9%)past 90 days
$5.00$5.71$6.06$5.45
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.45 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −58% expected return.Raw $5.71 → PSA 10 $42.99 · 7.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.71———High
PSA10$42.997.5×$42.99 · May 120High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$35.606.2×$40.00 · Sep 170Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$18.003.1×$15.60 · Oct 120Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate81.8%
PSA graded1,502
PSA 10
1,22981.8%
PSA 9
18912.6%
PSA 8
352.3%
PSA 7
151%
6 & below
342.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC657 graded · 38.8% top · 53 Pristine
BGS49 graded · 0% top
SGC26 graded · 61.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings123117 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week12▲ 133.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure10% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 30Oct 25
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Lapras VMAX earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 40% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Sword & Shield by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-58%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.4
Scarcity
0.4
Stability
8.9
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