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Applin — Twilight Masquerade #185
Pull rate1 in 272 packs
Cost to pull~$2,576
Released2024-05

Applin

Twilight Masquerade · #185 · IR
$15.17fair value $9.37
▲ 62% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+37%Sales−6%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$15.42▲ +$3.89 (+33.7%)past 90 days
$11.47$13.03$14.60$16.16$15.42
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $15.42 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −43% expected return.Raw $15.17 → PSA 10 $102.50 · 6.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$15.17———High
PSA10$102.506.8×$105.00 · Oct 224High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 8.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$66.004.3×$99.00 · Oct 223Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$25.001.6×$60.00 · Oct 22High
TAG10$74.994.9×$65.00 · Apr 210Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate43%
PSA graded1,565
PSA 10
67343%
PSA 9
74347.5%
PSA 8
1207.7%
PSA 7
201.3%
6 & below
90.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC324 graded · 50.3% top · 30 Pristine
BGS19 graded · 0% top
SGC10 graded · 30% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings170164 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 6.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 14Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Applin earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 62% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▲ 5%
Grading edge-45%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.2
Scarcity
4.9
Stability
6.1
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