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Greninja ex — Twilight Masquerade #198
Pull rate1 in 318 packs
Cost to pull~$3,011
Released2024-05

Greninja ex

Twilight Masquerade · #198 · UR
$14.23fair value $12.28
▲ 16% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−10%Sales+16%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$14.18▼ −$2.61 (−15.5%)past 90 days
$12.62$15.21$16.50$14.18
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $14.18 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −37% expected return.Raw $14.23 → PSA 10 $110.50 · 7.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$14.23———High
PSA10$110.507.8×$149.00 · Oct 272High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.5% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$112.757.9×$129.00 · Aug 230Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$49.203.5×$75.00 · Oct 81High
SGC10$32.002.3×$32.00 · Feb 140Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate35.8%
PSA graded2,326
PSA 10
83235.8%
PSA 9
1,20151.6%
PSA 8
24110.4%
PSA 7
341.5%
6 & below
180.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC515 graded · 49.3% top · 30 Pristine
BGS47 graded · 0% top
SGC29 graded · 37.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings190177 sellers · +7% vs 7d
Sold / week14▲ 15.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 7Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
40/100Watch

Greninja ex earns a 40/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 16% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 6%
Grading edge-48%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.1
Scarcity
5.8
Stability
5.9
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