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Lucian — Twilight Masquerade #208
Pull rate1 in 318 packs
Cost to pull~$3,011
Released2024-05

Lucian

Twilight Masquerade · #208 · UR
$1.22fair value $0.97
▲ 26% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−24%Listings+5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.26▲ +$0.07 (+5.9%)past 90 days
$1.19$1.32$1.46$1.59$1.26
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.26 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.22———High
PSA10$24.9020.4×$24.90 · Apr 140Med
CGC10$8.466.9×$9.99 · Apr 250Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate49.2%
PSA graded236
PSA 10
11649.2%
PSA 9
10444.1%
PSA 8
104.2%
PSA 7
10.4%
6 & below
52.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC157 graded · 54.1% top · 14 Pristine
BGS20 graded · 0% top
SGC1 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings408393 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week17▼ 24.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 8Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
26/100Avoid

Lucian earns a 26/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 26% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Twilight Masquerade. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.1
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
7.8
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