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Kieran — Twilight Masquerade #218
Pull rate1 in 941 packs
Cost to pull~$8,911
Released2024-05

Kieran

Twilight Masquerade · #218 · SIR
$26.74fair value $17.08
▲ 57% overTrading well above fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−9%Sales+9%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$26.89▼ −$0.39 (−1.4%)past 90 days
$28.08$29.05$30.02$26.89
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $26.89 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −51% expected return.Raw $26.74 → PSA 10 $79.00 · 3.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$26.74———High
PSA10$79.003.0×$79.00 · Oct 194High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out.$43.001.6×$50.00 · Oct 31Med
TAG10$69.002.6×—0Low
ACE10$67.262.5×$67.26 · Jul 170Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate48.2%
PSA graded2,712
PSA 10
1,30748.2%
PSA 9
1,11641.2%
PSA 8
2348.6%
PSA 7
291.1%
6 & below
261%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC235 graded · 51.5% top · 15 Pristine
BGS56 graded · 0% top
SGC24 graded · 70.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings125121 sellers · -8% vs 7d
Sold / week11▲ 9.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 9Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid

Kieran earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 57% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Twilight Masquerade. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 5%
Grading edge-51%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.2
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
8.4
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