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Sun & Moon GX Challenge Box [Primarina]
30-day move+5.8%
Pack ROI−93%
ReleasedFeb 2017

Sun & Moon GX Challenge Box [Primarina]

Sun & Moon · Sun & Moon · Sealed
$147.30fair value $129.27
▲ 14% overPriced above the cards inside.
Why it reads at a premiumSimilar sealed →
It has run 13.9 pts ahead of the chase cards it backs, after allowing for how sealed moved overall.
150 daysChase cards▲ +6.2%This product▲ +25.4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecastConviction is how well-supported the gap is. A strong call is a wide, steady gap over the window; a lean one is smaller or noisier.

Price history

TCGplayer market price, daily, against the fair value the cards inside imply
$119$128$137Fair $129.27$147.30
Jul 30Aug 28Sep 27Oct 27
Market priceFair valueFair zone ±5%
Most recent: $147.30 · Oct 27, 2026
The fair value is today's, drawn flat: we publish one figure per product, not a fair-value history, so there is no earlier fair line to draw and no confidence band around it.

Rip math per pack

Pack EV board →
Pack price$22.38TCGplayer market
EV (net)$1.60chase value per pack, after fees
ROI▼ −93%net EV ÷ pack price − 1
Top-3 share35%of EV from three cards, led by Umbreon GX

EV is an average. Most packs miss and a few hits carry it, so a single rip swings widely.

Chase cards in Sun & Moon

The Sun & Moon singles this product's fair value tracks, top by market price.
All of the set →

More Sun & Moon sealed

All of the set's products →
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