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Charmeleon

151 · #169 · IR

Charmeleon — 151 #169

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$58.42

FAIR

Modeled fair value $56.78

Priced about right.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Sales −16% · Listings +3% · Price −1%

Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$4,982
Released2023-09
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

A+Core hold
30-Day Move
-4%
Grading Edge
+13%
Time Window
30d

Charmeleon earns a 73/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 3% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in 151. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 13% ROI. It trades actively.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    7.4
  • Scarcity
    7.3
  • Stability
    7.0

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 46 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $549.99 · Sep 3, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$58.42
High9 sold · 30dlast $75 · Sep 7
PSA logo10$475.008.1×
High11 sold · 30dlast $550 · Sep 3
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $189.503.2×
High3 sold · 30dlast $118 · Sep 2
BGS logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The BGS 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $129.002.2×
Low1 sold · 30dlast $128 · Aug 26
TAG logo10$405.506.9×
Med2 sold · 30dlast $406 · Sep 5
ACE logo10$399.996.8×
Low1 sold · 30dno recent sale

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate23.4%
Graded32,734
  • PSA 107,65223.4%
  • PSA 917,60453.8%
  • PSA 86,22119%
  • PSA 79292.8%
  • 6 & below3281%
Other graders
CGC1,98233.8% top · 51 Pristine
BGS6820% top
SGC26426.5% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+238%if it gems
≈ $329.23 net / card
Raw cost
$58.42
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
23%
Slab market
$475.00

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 23% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer listings
216
191 TCGplayer sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / wk
24
▼ 15.8% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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