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Caterpie — 151 #172
Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$5,016
Released2023-09

Caterpie

151 · #172 · IR
$15.81fair value $12.75
▲ 24% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−21%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$15.81▼ −$3.95 (−20.0%)past 90 days
$14.84$16.49$18.15$19.80$15.81
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $15.81 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −35% expected return.Raw $15.81 → PSA 10 $158.28 · 10.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$15.81———High
PSA10$158.2810.0×$143.50 · Sep 130High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.0% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$102.506.5×$249.99 · Sep 301Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$28.801.8×$27.00 · Sep 282High
SGC10$16.801.1×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate30.1%
PSA graded5,707
PSA 10
1,71530.1%
PSA 9
2,92451.2%
PSA 8
84114.7%
PSA 7
1642.9%
6 & below
631.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC754 graded · 37.5% top · 40 Pristine
BGS72 graded · 0% top
SGC66 graded · 34.8% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings318298 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week13▼ 21.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 22Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
49/100Fair hold

Caterpie earns a 49/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 24% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in 151 by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▼ 6%
Grading edge-39%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.0
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
7.5
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