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Poliwhirl — 151 #176
Pull rate1 in 188 packs
Cost to pull~$5,016
Released2023-09

Poliwhirl

151 · #176 · IR
$35.06fair value $33.31
▲ 5% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−18%Sales−31%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$35.06▼ −$12.60 (−26.4%)past 90 days
$38.59$42.67$46.75$35.06
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $35.06 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −13% expected return.Raw $35.06 → PSA 10 $247.50 · 7.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$35.06———High
PSA10$247.507.1×$289.99 · Oct 2113High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$358.3010.2×$347.00 · Sep 271Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$69.502.0×$99.00 · Oct 242High
SGC10$85.002.4×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate29.5%
PSA graded15,754
PSA 10
4,64529.5%
PSA 9
8,33252.9%
PSA 8
2,38015.1%
PSA 7
3192%
6 & below
780.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC1,285 graded · 40.2% top · 52 Pristine
BGS240 graded · 0% top
SGC108 graded · 37% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings310284 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week11▼ 30.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
59/100Solid hold

Poliwhirl earns a 59/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 5% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in 151 by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 13%
Grading edge-15%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.6
Scarcity
6.5
Stability
6.6
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