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Bill's Transfer

151 · #194 · UR

Bill's Transfer — 151 #194

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$3.69

DISCOUNT −27%

Modeled fair value $5.05

Priced below fair value.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Cooling Demand is falling while listings build up.

Sales −38% · Listings +11% · Price −16%

Raw and slab point different ways here, and both can be true: the raw card is cheap against its graded market, while the PSA 10 itself looks rich against fundamentals.

Pull rate1 in 248 packs
Cost to pull~$6,572
Released2023-09
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

FAvoid
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
-56%
Time Window
30d

Bill's Transfer earns a 38/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 27% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in 151. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    2.2
  • Scarcity
    7.1
  • Stability
    7.6

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $137.00 · Mar 7, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$3.69
High0 sold · 30dno recent sale
PSA logo10$137.0037.1×
Med0 sold · 30dlast $137 · Mar 7
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $36.009.8×
Med0 sold · 30dlast $20 · Apr 30
SGC logo10$2.600.7×
Low0 sold · 30dno recent sale
ACE logo10$127.2734.5×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $121 · May 11

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate25.1%
Graded1,279
  • PSA 1032125.1%
  • PSA 968453.5%
  • PSA 822817.8%
  • PSA 7403.1%
  • 6 & below60.5%
Other graders
CGC38942.7% top · 20 Pristine
BGS330% top
SGC3847.4% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
445
419 TCGplayer sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / wk
33
▼ 38.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +11%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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