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Bill's Transfer — 151 #194
Pull rate1 in 248 packs
Cost to pull~$6,617
Released2023-09

Bill's Transfer

151 · #194 · UR
$3.13fair value $4.04
▼ 23% underPriced below fair value.
Supply BuildingListings are piling up faster than they sell. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−17%Sales+21%Listings+13%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$3.13▼ −$0.42 (−11.8%)past 90 days
$2.48$2.91$3.33$3.76$3.13
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.13 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −55% expected return.Raw $3.13 → PSA 10 $109.99 · 35.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.13———High
PSA10$109.9935.1×$137.00 · Mar 70Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 4.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$99.9931.9×$46.80 · Aug 310Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$28.008.9×$28.00 · Aug 311Med
SGC10$10.803.5×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate25.1%
PSA graded1,301
PSA 10
32625.1%
PSA 9
69353.3%
PSA 8
23518.1%
PSA 7
413.2%
6 & below
60.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC389 graded · 42.7% top · 20 Pristine
BGS33 graded · 0% top
SGC38 graded · 47.4% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings509483 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week17▲ 21.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +13%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 23Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
35/100Avoid

Bill's Transfer earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 23% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in 151. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-64%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.7
Scarcity
7.1
Stability
7.7
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