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Lugia — 30th Celebration #CC29
Pull rate1 in 295 packs
Released2026-09

Lugia

30th Celebration · Classic Collection · #CC29 · CLC
$194.85recent trading $201.92
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
New Set · Selling steadilyToo new to read a demand trend yet; that takes about two months of sales history. Price and listings still update. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
Since releasePrice−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$194.85▼ −$8.57 (−4.2%)past 90 days
$244$300$356$194.85
Sep 16Sep 27Oct 7Oct 18Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $194.85 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +23% expected return.Raw $194.85 → PSA 10 $1,269.67 · 6.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$194.85———High
PSA10$1,269.676.5×$1,096.43 · Oct 2747High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10.$830.004.3×$755.00 · Oct 2725High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$565.502.9×$405.00 · Oct 2714Med
BGS10$1,150.005.9×$1,400.00 · Oct 276Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+180%if it gems≈ $493.88 net per card
Raw cost$194.85
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate25%break-even 14%
Slab market$1,269.67
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1025%$768.73Not a 1075%≈ $194.85
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $338.32 per slab, before selling fees. Too few PSA 9 and 8 sales to price a miss, so it counts at the raw price.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 25% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings117108 sellers · +71% vs 7d
Sold / week30
Demand pressure26% · steady
softhot
Supply trend · coming soon, banking TCGplayer listings history.
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 29Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
62/100Solid hold

Lugia earns a 62/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). That puts it among the most valuable cards in 30th Celebration. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 69% ROI. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge+69%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.1
Scarcitylimited data
5.0
Stability
3.2
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