Lugia VSTAR
Silver Tempest · #202 · RBW$38.77fair value $52.87
▼ 27% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+2%Sales+160%Listings−3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$38.87▼ −$3.78 (−8.9%)past 90 days
$38.30$39.65$41.00$42.35$38.87
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $38.87 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +17% expected return.Raw $38.77 → PSA 10 $225.79 · 5.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$38.77———High
PSA10$225.795.8×$249.09 · Oct 2616High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.9% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$125.253.2×$259.95 · Oct 212Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$65.001.7×$47.00 · Sep 301High
BGS10$74.401.9×—0Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate50.4%
PSA graded5,255
PSA 10
2,64650.4%
PSA 9
1,86535.5%
PSA 8
57911%
PSA 7
941.8%
6 & below
711.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC741 graded · 48.3% top · 55 Pristine
BGS172 graded · 0% top
SGC81 graded · 25.9% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+88%if it gems≈ $104.40 net per card
Raw cost$38.77
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate50%break-even 38%
Slab market$225.79
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 50% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1050%$223.17PSA 936%$64.00PSA 811%$29.997 or lower3%$29.99
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $139.08 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings6458 sellers · -6% vs 7d
Sold / week8.5▲ 160.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure13% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Jul 31Oct 21
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
51/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Lugia VSTAR earns a 51/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 27% below our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Silver Tempest. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 12% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 0%
Grading edge+12%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.6
Scarcity
4.1
Stability
9.1
