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Lugia — Celebrations (25th) #22
Pull rate1 in 4 packs
Released2021-10

Lugia

Celebrations (25th) · #22 · HOL
$0.63recent trading $0.79
▼ 20% below recentTrading well below its recent sales.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+12%Sales−64%Listings−12%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast

Price history

Raw price
Raw
$0.63▼ −$0.17 (−21.3%)past 90 days
$0.77$0.89$1.00$0.63
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $0.63 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −43% expected return.Raw $0.63 → PSA 10 $370.00 · 587.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$0.63———High
PSA10$370.00587.3×$440.00 · Oct 221High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 1.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$175.00277.8×$128.52 · Aug 311Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$27.0642.9×$55.00 · Oct 227High
SGC10$14.4022.9×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate8.4%
PSA graded5,641
PSA 10
4768.4%
PSA 9
2,53444.9%
PSA 8
1,87033.2%
PSA 7
5519.8%
6 & below
2103.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC3,494 graded · 15.5% top · 43 Pristine
BGS97 graded · 0% top
SGC41 graded · 12.2% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings892779 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week133▼ 64.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure15% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -12%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 25Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A
67/100Core hold

Lugia earns a 67/100 investment score and an A grade (core hold). It's one of the lower-priced cards in Celebrations (25th). Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades actively.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-61%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.8
Scarcity
8.9
Stability
8.3
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