Lugia V
Silver Tempest · #185 · FAV$16.42fair value $25.03
▼ 34% underTrading well below fundamentals.
Market readSimilar cards →
Supply SqueezeAvailable listings are drying up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+0%Sales−23%Listings−22%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$16.66▼ −$2.23 (−11.8%)past 90 days
$17.27$18.00$18.74$16.66
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $16.66 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +35% expected return.Raw $16.42 → PSA 10 $212.00 · 12.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$16.42———High
PSA10$212.0012.9×$220.00 · Oct 2217High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 5.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$133.008.1×$126.00 · Sep 282Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$34.902.1×$34.80 · Oct 123High
TAG10$150.009.1×$150.00 · Apr 200Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate53.3%
PSA graded3,543
PSA 10
1,88753.3%
PSA 9
1,27436%
PSA 8
3098.7%
PSA 7
401.1%
6 & below
330.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC718 graded · 40.7% top · 44 Pristine
BGS116 graded · 0% top
SGC63 graded · 23.8% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+117%if it gems≈ $113.12 net per card
Raw cost$16.42
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate53%break-even 33%
Slab market$212.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 53% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1053%$209.54PSA 936%$46.00PSA 89%$20.997 or lower2%$16.42
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $130.21 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings9589 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week10▼ 23.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendclearing · -22%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 2Oct 22
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
47/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Lugia V earns a 47/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 34% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Silver Tempest. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 25% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 7%
Grading edge+25%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.2
Scarcity
3.7
Stability
8.6
