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Seismitoad — Black Bolt #105
Pull rate1 in 848 packs
Cost to pull~$11,957
Released2025-07

Seismitoad

Black Bolt · #105 · IR
$190.18fair value $186.54
≈ at fairPriced about right.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−23%Listings+4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$190.18▼ −$57.13 (−23.1%)past 90 days
$210$227$244$190.18
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $190.18 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +44% expected return.Raw $190.18 → PSA 10 $1,556.75 · 8.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$190.18———High
PSA10$1,556.758.2×$1,308.33 · Oct 2119High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.4% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$1,475.007.8×$1,389.00 · Sep 210Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$415.002.2×$386.56 · Oct 183High
SGC10$264.001.4×$264.00 · Oct 191Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate15.6%
PSA graded7,160
PSA 10
1,11915.6%
PSA 9
4,38061.2%
PSA 8
1,46920.5%
PSA 7
1502.1%
6 & below
420.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC249 graded · 42.2% top · 17 Pristine
BGS201 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 75% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+456%if it gems≈ $1,230.73 net per card
Raw cost$190.18
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate16%break-even 7%
Slab market$1,556.75
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1016%$1,500.91PSA 961%$183.75PSA 821%$183.757 or lower3%$175.00
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $388.99 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 16% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings6054 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week3.3
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 8
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
A+
74/100Core hold

Seismitoad earns a 74/100 investment score and an A+ grade (core hold). It's trading 2% above our fair value. That puts it among the most valuable cards in Black Bolt. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 49% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 14%
Grading edge+49%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
7.1
Scarcity
9.9
Stability
5.6
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