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Serperior ex — Black Bolt #164
Pull rate1 in 1,120 packs
Cost to pull~$15,792
Released2025-07

Serperior ex

Black Bolt · #164 · SIR
$39.24fair value $27.28
▲ 44% overTrading well above fundamentals.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−0%Sales+20%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$39.24▼ −$11.41 (−22.5%)past 90 days
$43.29$46.60$49.91$39.24
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $39.24 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −46% expected return.Raw $39.24 → PSA 10 $84.81 · 2.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$39.24———High
PSA10$84.812.2×$120.37 · Oct 2423High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 23% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$99.992.5×$120.00 · Sep 160Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$43.201.1×$69.00 · Oct 194High
SGC10$28.250.7×$28.25 · May 140Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate67.2%
PSA graded4,516
PSA 10
3,03667.2%
PSA 9
1,24327.5%
PSA 8
1773.9%
PSA 7
360.8%
6 & below
240.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC158 graded · 60.8% top · 47 Pristine
BGS76 graded · 0% top
SGC1 graded · 100% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9589 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week10▲ 20.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Jul 31Oct 24
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
36/100Avoid

Serperior ex earns a 36/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 44% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Black Bolt. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 11%
Grading edge-41%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.2
Scarcity
2.1
Stability
7.0
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