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Genesect ex — Black Bolt #169
Pull rate1 in 1,120 packs
Cost to pull~$15,792
Released2025-07

Genesect ex

Black Bolt · #169 · SIR
$40.67fair value $27.24
▲ 49% overTrading well above fundamentals.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−36%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$40.67▼ −$7.27 (−15.2%)past 90 days
$43.23$45.35$47.47$40.67
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $40.67 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −42% expected return.Raw $40.67 → PSA 10 $90.00 · 2.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$40.67———High
PSA10$90.002.2×$90.00 · Oct 2523High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 21% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$127.493.1×$60.00 · Oct 72Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$56.401.4×$59.00 · Oct 172High
TAG10$76.391.9×$90.03 · Oct 271High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate66.6%
PSA graded4,818
PSA 10
3,21166.6%
PSA 9
1,35628.1%
PSA 8
1773.7%
PSA 7
380.8%
6 & below
360.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC142 graded · 52.8% top · 38 Pristine
BGS87 graded · 0% top
SGC8 graded · 75% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings123118 sellers · +2% vs 7d
Sold / week9.8▼ 36.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 2Oct 23
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid

Genesect ex earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 49% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Black Bolt. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 11%
Grading edge-39%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.3
Scarcity
2.2
Stability
7.8
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