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Watchog — Chaos Rising #097

Watchog

Chaos Rising · #097 · IR

Pull rate1 in 103Cost to pull~$624Released2026-05

Fair-value verdict

$1.69

Fair value What our model says this card is worth from its fundamentals — print scarcity, character demand, gem rate, and grading comps. The verdict compares the market price to this. It's a fair-value read, not a prediction of where the price will go.$4.22DISCOUNT−60%
-60%
below fairFairabove fair

Supply Building Listings are piling up faster than they sell.

Sales −12% · Listings +12% · Price −12%

PSA 10

Fair value We don't have a fair value for this card yet — it's coming in the future.

Grading How often this card grades PSA 10 (gem rate), what a PSA 10 sells for versus the raw card, and how many PSA 10s exist.

Gem rate 57% · 23 PSA 10s

Price history· 90d · % change

Overlays
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Raw marketfair $4.22

Investment Score

Limited grading data
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
n/a
Time Window
30d

Watchog scores 30/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 60% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Chaos Rising. It trades actively.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modern cards (ME · SV · SWSH)
  • Demand
    limited data
    3.5
  • Scarcity
    3.2
  • Stability
    0.0

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Supply & Demand TCGplayer · last 30 days
Active listings (eBay)
1,298
21 TCGplayer sellers · trend pending
Sold / wk
437
▼ 12.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure34% · firm
softhot
Supply trendbuilding · +12%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply shows both venues — eBay active listings + TCGplayer sellers (distinct units, not summed); the supply-trend gauge is eBay-driven for now, with the TCGplayer trend surfacing once its history is reliable, then blending. Sold/wk is TCGplayer; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Across HyperPotion

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