Watchog β€” White Flare #153

Watchog

White Flare Β· #153 Β· IR

Raw+33.3%/ 30dSlab+93.6%/ 30d Released 2025-07
Raw market
Market
Watching
$8.29
2.8 sales/wk 501 last 90d
Fair value
$10.19
Modeled daily.
vs Fair Value
β˜…β˜…Watch
βˆ’19%
UNDERVALUED
PSA 10 slab?How Market is measured The Market value is a robust median of PSAΒ 10 sold prices β€” a 7-day window when the card sells β‰₯5/week, widening to 30–60 days for thin volume, with an outlier filter. The chart plots the individual sales, so a recent spike can ride above this median. Reading raw vs. slab The two β€œvs Fair Value” figures measure against different benchmarks, so they can point different directions without disagreeing. Raw is judged against the graded market β€” undervalued means the raw card is cheap relative to its PSAΒ 10. Slab is judged against fundamentals β€” overvalued means the PSAΒ 10 itself looks rich versus print scarcity, grading rates, and demand. Both can be true at once. 65 PSA 10 pop Β· 22% gem
Market
$156.78
Median PSA-10 sale Β· 17 sales
Fair value
β€”
No modeled PSA 10 fair value for this card yet.
30d trend
+93.6%
PSA 10 market move

Price history Β· 30d

Raw market fair $10.19
PSA 10 slab PSA-10 sales
Supply & Demand
Active listings Β· supply
111
Sold / wk Β· demand
70
β–² 141.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure63% Β· hot
softhot
Supply trendbuilding Β· +12%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales Β· sold per day

Active listings + the supply-trend gauge are eBay; sold/wk is TCGplayer. Demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales Γ· eBay active listings (soft β†’ hot) β€” a relative read, not a literal sell-through, since the two venues differ (but track closely). Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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