Watchog
White Flare · #153 · IR$6.91fair value $9.30
▼ 26% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+19%Sales+12%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$6.91▼ −$4.57 (−39.8%)past 90 days
$8.55$9.90$11.24$6.91
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $6.91 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −43% expected return.Raw $6.91 → PSA 10 $189.95 · 27.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$6.91———High
PSA10$189.9527.5×$189.95 · Oct 52High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 7.7% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$72.2010.4×$69.45 · Feb 200Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$17.252.5×$20.00 · Oct 81Low
SGC10$80.0011.6×$80.00 · Dec 230Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate19.7%
PSA graded375
PSA 10
7419.7%
PSA 9
23662.9%
PSA 8
5915.7%
PSA 7
51.3%
6 & below
10.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC84 graded · 45.2% top · 7 Pristine
BGS8 graded · 0% top
SGC2 graded · 100% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings153151 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week9.8▲ 11.8% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 23Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Watchog earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 26% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in White Flare. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-51%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.9
Scarcity
7.7
Stability
4.8
