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Caitlin — Chilling Reign #189
Pull rate1 in 1,556 packs
Cost to pull~$18,750
Released2021-06

Caitlin

Chilling Reign · #189 · FAT
$20.69fair value $11.11
▲ 86% overPriced above fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales+29%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$20.69▼ −$4.16 (−16.7%)past 90 days
$22.49$23.97$25.44$20.69
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $20.69 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −56% expected return.Raw $20.69 → PSA 10 $73.00 · 3.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$20.69———High
PSA10$73.003.5×$86.00 · Oct 202High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$92.704.5×$56.40 · Aug 170Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$33.241.6×$21.60 · Aug 170Med
TAG10$75.003.6×$75.00 · Jan 260Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate45.6%
PSA graded1,774
PSA 10
80945.6%
PSA 9
66237.3%
PSA 8
24113.6%
PSA 7
492.8%
6 & below
130.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC321 graded · 37.7% top · 32 Pristine
BGS38 graded · 0% top
SGC40 graded · 35% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings10397 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week7.8▲ 28.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 1Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
30/100Avoid

Caitlin earns a 30/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 86% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chilling Reign. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 16%
Grading edge-56%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.3
Scarcity
4.7
Stability
9.5
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