Karen's Conviction
Chilling Reign · #193 · FAT

Karen's Conviction
Chilling Reign · #193 · FAT
Overview
Fair-value verdict
Raw
$15.02
PREMIUM +284%Modeled fair value $3.91
Priced above fair value.
Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.
Listings +3% · Price +3%
PSA 10
$56.00
Grading How often this card grades PSA 10 (gem rate) and how many PSA 10s exist.
Gem rate 50% · 330 PSA 10s
Investment Score
Karen's Conviction scores 27/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 284% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chilling Reign. It trades thinly.
- Demandlimited data1.1
- Scarcity4.1
- Stability9.1
This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.
Price chart
Price history
Sep 12, 2026
Most recent PSA 10 sale · $56.00 · Aug 31, 2026
Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.| Grade | Price | × Raw | Last sale | Sales (30d) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw | $15.02 | — | $21 Jan 18 | 0 | High |
10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. | $9.01 | 0.6× | $9 Mar 12 | 0 | Low |
10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $9.010.6×Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.
Grade distribution
- PSA 1033050.5%
- PSA 923035.2%
- PSA 86510%
- PSA 7223.4%
- 6 & below60.9%
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).
Market
Supply & Demand
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.
Across HyperPotion
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