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Karen's Conviction

Chilling Reign · #193 · FAT

Karen's Conviction — Chilling Reign #193

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$15.02

PREMIUM +284%

Modeled fair value $3.91

Priced above fair value.

Below fairFairAbove fair

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Listings +3% · Price +3%

Pull rate1 in 1,556 packs
Cost to pull~$18,003
Released2021-06
Fair-Value LabPremium Nudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond.

Investment Score

Limited grading data
30-Day Move
-2%
Grading Edge
n/a
Time Window
30d

Karen's Conviction scores 27/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 284% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chilling Reign. It trades thinly.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    limited data
    1.1
  • Scarcity
    4.1
  • Stability
    9.1

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $56.00 · Aug 31, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$15.02
High0 sold · 30dlast $21 · Jan 18
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $9.010.6×
Low0 sold · 30dlast $9 · Mar 12

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate50.5%
Graded653
  • PSA 1033050.5%
  • PSA 923035.2%
  • PSA 86510%
  • PSA 7223.4%
  • 6 & below60.9%
Other graders
CGC15439.6% top · 16 Pristine
BGS80% top
SGC1662.5% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
76
70 TCGplayer sellers · +9% vs 7d
Sold / wk
8.8
Demand pressure12% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

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