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Celebi VMAX — Chilling Reign #199
Pull rate1 in 2,490 packs
Cost to pull~$30,005
Released2021-06

Celebi VMAX

Chilling Reign · #199 · RBW
$26.71fair value $34.91
▼ 23% underPriced below fair value.
CoolingDemand is falling while listings build up. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales−50%Listings+8%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$26.71▲ +$1.41 (+5.6%)past 90 days
$25.25$25.78$26.31$26.71
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $26.71 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +18% expected return.Raw $26.71 → PSA 10 $166.23 · 6.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$26.71———High
PSA10$166.236.2×$166.23 · Oct 269High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$106.764.0×$64.51 · Apr 190Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$48.001.8×$74.99 · Oct 171Med
TAG10$75.442.8×$74.96 · Oct 171Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate72.8%
PSA graded1,072
PSA 10
78072.8%
PSA 9
21520.1%
PSA 8
474.4%
PSA 7
121.1%
6 & below
181.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC262 graded · 46.2% top · 37 Pristine
BGS18 graded · 0% top
SGC22 graded · 50% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+54%if it gems≈ $58.09 net per card
Raw cost$26.71
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate73%break-even 59%
Slab market$166.23
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1073%$164.80PSA 920%$23.24PSA 84%$23.247 or lower3%$23.24
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $126.30 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 73% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings5550 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week2.8▼ 50.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +8%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 4Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Celebi VMAX earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 23% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chilling Reign. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 20% ROI. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 1%
Grading edge+20%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.6
Scarcity
1.4
Stability
9.1
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