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Caitlin — Chilling Reign #213
Pull rate1 in 2,490 packs
Cost to pull~$30,005
Released2021-06

Caitlin

Chilling Reign · #213 · RBW
$15.88fair value $10.04
▲ 58% overPriced above fair value.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+15%Sales−75%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$15.88▲ +$0.13 (+0.8%)past 90 days
$16.25$16.67$17.08$15.88
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $15.88 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −55% expected return.Raw $15.88 → PSA 10 $68.05 · 4.3×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$15.88———High
PSA10$68.054.3×$69.00 · Oct 152Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 9.1% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$28.801.8×$28.80 · Mar 40Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$28.001.8×$28.00 · Sep 40Low
BGS10$81.005.1×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate51.3%
PSA graded390
PSA 10
20051.3%
PSA 9
13334.1%
PSA 8
389.7%
PSA 7
153.8%
6 & below
41%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC149 graded · 45.6% top · 15 Pristine
BGS16 graded · 0% top
SGC11 graded · 54.5% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings7066 sellers · 0% vs 7d
Sold / week2.5▼ 75.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 1Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
21/100Avoid

Caitlin earns a 21/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 58% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Chilling Reign. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 5%
Grading edge-56%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.5
Scarcity
4.0
Stability
7.9
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