Karen's Conviction
Chilling Reign · #216 · RBW$9.22fair value $11.68
▼ 21% underPriced below fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+3%Listings0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$9.22▼ −$0.04 (−0.4%)past 90 days
$9.48$9.69$9.90$9.22
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $9.22 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −38% expected return.Raw $9.22 → PSA 10 $89.75 · 9.7×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$9.22———High
PSA10$89.759.7×$121.86 · Sep 90High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 12% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$36.554.0×$36.55 · Sep 60Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$29.503.2×$34.99 · Aug 40Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate51.9%
PSA graded347
PSA 10
18051.9%
PSA 9
12636.3%
PSA 8
236.6%
PSA 7
123.5%
6 & below
61.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC137 graded · 48.2% top · 18 Pristine
BGS10 graded · 0% top
SGC14 graded · 35.7% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings8886 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week3.8
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · 0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 2Oct 5
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
22/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Karen's Conviction earns a 22/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 21% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Chilling Reign by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-43%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.7
Scarcity
3.9
Stability
7.4
