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Melony — Chilling Reign #218
Pull rate1 in 2,490 packs
Cost to pull~$30,005
Released2021-06

Melony

Chilling Reign · #218 · RBW
$8.41fair value $10.51
▼ 20% underPriced below fair value.
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales+200%Listings+7%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$8.51▼ −$0.90 (−9.6%)past 90 days
$8.83$9.09$9.35$8.51
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $8.51 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −54% expected return.Raw $8.41 → PSA 10 $74.25 · 8.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$8.41———High
PSA10$74.258.8×$75.00 · Oct 32Med
CGC10$37.004.4×$50.00 · Aug 150Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate49.4%
PSA graded312
PSA 10
15449.4%
PSA 9
11536.9%
PSA 8
3310.6%
PSA 7
61.9%
6 & below
41.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC144 graded · 47.2% top · 13 Pristine
BGS7 graded · 0% top
SGC13 graded · 46.2% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9186 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week2.5▲ 200.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +7%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 7Oct 19
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
25/100Avoid

Melony earns a 25/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 20% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Chilling Reign by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-54%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
0.6
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
9.4
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