Colress's Experiment
Lost Origin · #190 · FAT$1.63fair value $1.52
▲ 7% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−14%Sales−53%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$1.67▼ −$0.03 (−1.8%)past 90 days
$1.46$1.54$1.63$1.71$1.67
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.67 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.63———High
CGC10$12.507.7×—0Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.2%
PSA graded297
PSA 10
14649.2%
PSA 9
11639.1%
PSA 8
299.8%
PSA 7
51.7%
6 & below
10.3%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC181 graded · 38.7% top · 9 Pristine
BGS13 graded · 0% top
SGC17 graded · 47.1% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings282264 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 52.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 16Oct 26
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
—
24/100Limited grading data
Colress's Experiment scores 24/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 7% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Lost Origin. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demandlimited data
0.6
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
8.8
