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Aerodactyl VSTAR — Lost Origin #199
Pull rate1 in 1,050 packs
Cost to pull~$16,863
Released2022-09

Aerodactyl VSTAR

Lost Origin · #199 · RBW
$15.26fair value $17.53
▼ 13% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+13%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$15.26▲ +$1.25 (+8.9%)past 90 days
$14.06$14.52$14.99$15.45$15.26
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $15.26 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −33% expected return.Raw $15.26 → PSA 10 $97.50 · 6.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$15.26———High
PSA10$97.506.4×$133.80 · Oct 202High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 6.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$74.004.8×$75.00 · May 10Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$35.002.3×$29.40 · Sep 140Med
BGS10$50.403.3×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate55.8%
PSA graded1,592
PSA 10
88955.8%
PSA 9
51732.5%
PSA 8
1197.5%
PSA 7
352.2%
6 & below
322%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC467 graded · 43.7% top · 31 Pristine
BGS49 graded · 0% top
SGC50 graded · 56% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings9184 sellers · +15% vs 7d
Sold / week10
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Aug 3Oct 16
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
35/100Avoid

Aerodactyl VSTAR earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 13% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Lost Origin. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 1%
Grading edge-36%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.4
Scarcity
3.4
Stability
8.7
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