Colress's Experiment
Lost Origin · #205 · RBW$3.72fair value $3.15
▲ 18% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand BuildingDemand is rising, but the price hasn’t followed yet. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice0%Sales+39%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$3.67▲ +$0.24 (+7.0%)past 90 days
$3.33$3.44$3.54$3.67
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.67 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.72———High
TAG10$6.501.8×$6.50 · Feb 260Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate45.6%
PSA graded263
PSA 10
12045.6%
PSA 9
9736.9%
PSA 8
3111.8%
PSA 7
114.2%
6 & below
41.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC128 graded · 30.5% top · 6 Pristine
BGS16 graded · 0% top
SGC15 graded · 46.7% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings144138 sellers · -12% vs 7d
Sold / week16▲ 38.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure11% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 2Oct 23
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
—
26/100Limited grading data
Colress's Experiment scores 26/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 18% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Lost Origin by price. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demandlimited data
0.7
Scarcity
4.7
Stability
9.1
