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Chandelure — Lost Origin #TG04
Pull rate1 in 132 packs
Cost to pull~$2,120
Released2022-09

Chandelure

Lost Origin · #TG04 · TGN
$4.17fair value $2.99
▲ 40% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+25%Sales−15%Listings+0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$4.09▼ −$0.70 (−14.6%)past 90 days
$3.94$4.31$4.69$5.06$4.09
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $4.09 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −65% expected return.Raw $4.17 → PSA 10 $92.07 · 22.1×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$4.17———High
PSA10$92.0722.1×$275.32 · Oct 192Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 2.3% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$70.0016.8×$70.00 · Apr 80Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$29.997.2×$20.40 · Oct 262Med
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate21.6%
PSA graded690
PSA 10
14921.6%
PSA 9
35050.7%
PSA 8
13319.3%
PSA 7
415.9%
6 & below
172.5%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC730 graded · 27.5% top · 17 Pristine
SGC38 graded · 28.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings295277 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week17▼ 14.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 22Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
34/100Avoid

Chandelure earns a 34/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 40% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Lost Origin by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-73%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.7
Scarcity
7.5
Stability
6.4
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