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Chandelure — Lost Origin #TG04

Chandelure

Lost Origin · #TG04 · TGN

Pull rate1 in 132Cost to pull~$2,532Released2022-09

Fair-value verdict

Raw

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Market

$4.88

Fair value What our model says this card is worth from its fundamentals — print scarcity, character demand, gem rate, and grading comps. The verdict compares the market price to this. It's a fair-value read, not a prediction of where the price will go.$5.76DISCOUNT −15%
Below fairFairAbove fair

Demand Fading Demand is softening.

Sales −40% · Listings −1% · Price +25%

PSA 10

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Market

$158.14

Fair value We don't have a fair value for this card yet — it's coming in the future.—

Grading How often this card grades PSA 10 (gem rate), what a PSA 10 sells for versus the raw card, and how many PSA 10s exist.

Gem rate 22% · 146 PSA 10s

Price history

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PSA 10 line from 5 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume.

Investment Score

Limited grading data
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
n/a
Time Window
30d

Chandelure scores 34/100. We're withholding a letter grade because it has no PSA-10 graded price yet, so the score leans on demand signals. It's trading 15% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Lost Origin by price. It trades actively.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    limited data
    1.8
  • Scarcity
    7.4
  • Stability
    6.2

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
Active listings (eBay)
459
215 TCGplayer sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / wk
37
▼ 39.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure8% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply shows both venues — eBay active listings + TCGplayer sellers (distinct units, not summed); the supply-trend gauge is eBay-driven for now, with the TCGplayer trend surfacing once its history is reliable, then blending. Sold/wk is TCGplayer; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ eBay active listings (soft → hot) — a relative read, not a literal sell-through. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Across HyperPotion

In its set
Lost OriginLost Origin

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