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Spearow — Mega Evolution #151
Pull rate1 in 202 packs
Cost to pull~$1,834
Released2025-09

Spearow

Mega Evolution · #151 · IR
$3.43fair value $3.27
▲ 5% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+2%Sales−32%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-29 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$3.43▼ −$1.33 (−27.9%)past 90 days
$4.02$4.51$4.99$3.43
Aug 2Aug 24Sep 15Oct 7Oct 29
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.43 · Oct 29, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −62% expected return.Raw $3.43 → PSA 10 $39.60 · 11.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.43———High
PSA10$39.6011.6×$39.60 · Oct 268High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 25% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$31.209.1×$26.40 · Oct 127High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$16.804.9×$13.20 · Oct 269High
TAG10$52.5015.3×$55.00 · Sep 100High
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate66.1%
PSA graded3,916
PSA 10
2,59066.1%
PSA 9
1,10528.2%
PSA 8
1594.1%
PSA 7
310.8%
6 & below
310.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC590 graded · 64.7% top · 201 Pristine
BGS42 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 50% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings564547 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week25▼ 32.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 29Oct 29
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
33/100Avoid

Spearow earns a 33/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 5% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Mega Evolution by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-67%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.2
Scarcity
2.2
Stability
5.4
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