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Mega Abomasnow ex — Mega Evolution #157
Pull rate1 in 267 packs
Cost to pull~$2,419
Released2025-09

Mega Abomasnow ex

Mega Evolution · #157 · UR
$1.66fair value $2.09
▼ 21% underPriced below fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−14%Sales−23%Listings+3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.66▼ −$0.49 (−22.8%)past 90 days
$1.83$1.99$2.15$1.66
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.66 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −60% expected return.Raw $1.66 → PSA 10 $45.20 · 27.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.66———High
PSA10$45.2027.2×$44.40 · Oct 190High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 23% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$27.0016.3×$20.40 · Oct 194High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$16.8010.1×$16.00 · Sep 176High
TAG10$40.0024.1×$45.00 · Jun 270Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate61.5%
PSA graded1,323
PSA 10
81461.5%
PSA 9
44833.9%
PSA 8
513.9%
PSA 7
70.5%
6 & below
30.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC343 graded · 63.8% top · 103 Pristine
BGS17 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings515500 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week18▼ 23.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure3% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 26Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
27/100Avoid

Mega Abomasnow ex earns a 27/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 21% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-65%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
2.8
Stability
6.9
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