Lillie's Determination
Mega Evolution · #169 · UR$19.01fair value $4.88
▲ 290% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−8%Sales−24%Listings−3%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$19.01▼ −$2.24 (−10.5%)past 90 days
$20.38$21.51$22.63$19.01
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $19.01 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$19.01———High
PSA10$50.002.6×$50.00 · Oct 2629High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 21% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$74.403.9×$83.19 · Sep 284High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$30.001.6×$20.00 · Oct 279High
BGS10$60.003.2×$60.00 · Sep 261Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate48.9%
PSA graded7,960
PSA 10
3,89648.9%
PSA 9
3,09838.9%
PSA 8
7259.1%
PSA 7
1451.8%
6 & below
961.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC602 graded · 60% top · 164 Pristine
BGS170 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 40% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings314299 sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / week32▼ 24.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure10% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -3%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 22Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
D
44/100Watch
S+SABCDF
Lillie's Determination earns a 44/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). It's trading 290% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. It trades actively.
30-day move▼ 9%
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
3.8
Scarcity
4.3
Stability
7.2
