Mega Lucario ex
Mega Evolution · #160 · UR$10.66fair value $8.45
▲ 26% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−9%Sales−50%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$10.66▼ −$1.94 (−15.4%)past 90 days
$11.45$12.32$13.19$10.66
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $10.66 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −47% expected return.Raw $10.66 → PSA 10 $75.00 · 7.0×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$10.66———High
PSA10$75.007.0×$67.00 · Oct 2647High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 21% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$80.007.5×$69.00 · Oct 236High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$36.003.4×$19.78 · Oct 239High
BGS10$224.6421.1×$224.64 · Apr 240Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate55.3%
PSA graded11,915
PSA 10
6,58455.3%
PSA 9
4,49737.7%
PSA 8
6605.5%
PSA 7
880.7%
6 & below
860.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC1,041 graded · 60.2% top · 273 Pristine
BGS269 graded · 0% top
SGC10 graded · 30% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings407393 sellers · +3% vs 7d
Sold / week15▼ 50.4% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 24Oct 25
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
45/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Mega Lucario ex earns a 45/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 26% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 6%
Grading edge-49%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.3
Scarcity
3.5
Stability
6.8
