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Lucario V — Astral Radiance #78
Pull rate1 in 57 packs
Cost to pull~$573
Released2022-05

Lucario V

Astral Radiance · #78 · URV
$1.38fair value $1.65
▼ 16% underPriced below fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+7%Sales−20%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$1.38▼ −$0.15 (−9.8%)past 90 days
$1.79$2.12$2.46$1.38
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $1.38 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −63% expected return.Raw $1.38 → PSA 10 $60.00 · 43.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$1.38———High
PSA10$60.0043.5×$64.99 · Jul 130Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 2.2% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$50.0036.2×$80.00 · Sep 151Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$21.2415.4×$26.99 · Aug 271Med
TAG10$50.0036.2×$50.00 · Jun 90Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate35.2%
PSA graded310
PSA 10
10935.2%
PSA 9
14446.5%
PSA 8
4012.9%
PSA 7
113.5%
6 & below
61.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC764 graded · 23.4% top · 17 Pristine
BGS28 graded · 0% top
SGC15 graded · 33.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings447414 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week22▼ 20.0% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 22Oct 28
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
35/100Avoid

Lucario V earns a 35/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 16% below our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Astral Radiance. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-73%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.0
Scarcity
5.9
Stability
7.6
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