Skip to main content

Lucario

Paldean Fates · #174 · SHB

Lucario — Paldean Fates #174

Overview

Fair-value verdict

$23.63

Recent trading $24.73

Trading in line with its recent sales.

Below recentRecentAbove recent

Stable No material movement in price, demand, or supply.

Listings +6% · Price −14%

Pull rate1 in 472 packs
Released2024-01

Investment Score

DWatch
30-Day Move
n/a
Grading Edge
+59%
Time Window
30d

Lucario earns a 40/100 investment score and a D grade (watch). That puts it among the most valuable cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 59% ROI. It trades thinly.

Data snapshot — not a forecast
What drives the score· vs. modeled cards (ME · SV · SWSH · SM)
  • Demand
    3.5
  • Scarcity
    4.3
  • Stability
    6.3

This is a snapshot of demand fundamentals, not a forecast and not financial advice. "Gaining steam" just shows that the price has moved recently, not that it'll keep moving. The score measures durability, not how a card behaves in a crash. And keep an eye out for reprints, which can crash a chase card fast no matter how high the grade. Scores compare cards within the modern era (Mega Evolution, Scarlet & Violet, Sword & Shield) — not against vintage.

Price chart

Price history

Sep 12, 2026

Indicator

Overlays and indicators are Premium.See what's included

Market pace

Running hottrading busier than the market right now

PSA 10 is a rolling median over the last 7 sale-days, drawn from 5 tracked eBay sales — a partial sample of eBay sold volume, not the full market.

Most recent PSA 10 sale · $320.00 · Sep 9, 2026

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price — Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
Raw$23.63
High0 sold · 30dlast $30 · Jul 25
PSA logo10$314.9913.3×
High3 sold · 30dlast $320 · Sep 9
CGC logo10 Shown as the standard-10 median. The CGC 10 bucket may include the occasional Pristine 10 / Black Label sale; a separate line for those is coming. $74.583.2×
Med2 sold · 30dlast $38 · Sep 6

Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price — low-confidence rows rest on few sales, treat as directional.

Grade distribution

Gem rate48.6%
Graded683
  • PSA 1033248.6%
  • PSA 932347.3%
  • PSA 8243.5%
  • PSA 700%
  • 6 & below40.6%
Other graders
CGC15157% top · 18 Pristine
BGS140% top
SGC862.5% top
as of Aug 2026

PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Aug 25, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9).

Grading edge

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.

+199%if it gems
≈ $205.85 net / card
Raw cost
$23.63
Grading fee
$80.00
Gem rate
49%
Slab market
$314.99

Best case — the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut. PSA 10s happen about 49% of the time (the gem rate above); on a miss you roughly recover the raw cost.

Market

Supply & Demand

TCGplayer · last 30 days
TCGplayer listings
127
120 TCGplayer sellers · +5% vs 7d
Sold / wk
11
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +6%
clearingbuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day

Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

See every card priced like this.

3-day free trial · Alerts · Overlays · Fair-Value Lab · Cancel anytime

Start free trial