Lucario
Paldean Fates · #174 · SHB$20.07recent trading $20.03
≈ in its recent rangeTrading in line with its recent sales.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−20%Sales−23%Listings+1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Recent trading is descriptive, not a forecast
Price history
Raw priceRaw
$20.07▼ −$9.74 (−32.7%)past 90 days
$23.03$26.08$29.13$20.07
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $20.07 · Oct 28, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.BorderlineGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +19% expected return.Raw $20.07 → PSA 10 $216.37 · 10.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$20.07———High
PSA10$216.3710.8×$320.00 · Oct 175High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 10% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$149.997.5×$100.80 · Jul 200Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$29.991.5×$38.00 · Sep 60High
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate47.2%
PSA graded716
PSA 10
33847.2%
PSA 9
34648.3%
PSA 8
283.9%
PSA 7
00%
6 & below
40.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC161 graded · 55.9% top · 18 Pristine
BGS15 graded · 0% top
SGC8 graded · 62.5% top
Grading edge
Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.+113%if it gems≈ $112.69 net per card
Raw cost$20.07
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate47%break-even 36%
Slab market$216.37
If you grade it, it comes back…
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 47% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.GradeOddsSells forPSA 1047%$212.76PSA 948%$37.50PSA 84%$20.077 or lower1%$20.07
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $119.44 per slab, before selling fees.Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings127121 sellers · -3% vs 7d
Sold / week8.3▼ 23.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Aug 8Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Lucario earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). That puts it among the most valuable cards in Paldean Fates. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 13% ROI. It trades thinly.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge+13%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.9
Scarcity
4.5
Stability
6.4
