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Lucario GX — Forbidden Light #122
Pull rate1 in 316 packs
Cost to pull~$16,069
Released2018-05

Lucario GX

Forbidden Light · #122 · GXF
$36.43fair value $57.44
▼ 37% underPriced below fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+44%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$36.43▲ +$3.60 (+11.0%)past 90 days
$33.06$34.11$35.15$36.43
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 6Oct 28
Market price
Latest raw market price · $36.43 · Oct 28, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
GradeGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about +380% expected return.Raw $36.43 → PSA 10 $1,200.00 · 32.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$36.43———High
PSA10$1,200.0032.9×$1,250.00 · Oct 251Low
CGC10$65.001.8×—0Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate43.6%
PSA graded406
PSA 10
17743.6%
PSA 9
14836.5%
PSA 8
5313.1%
PSA 7
174.2%
6 & below
112.7%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC56 graded · 26.8% top · 1 Pristine
BGS4 graded · 0% top
SGC3 graded · 33.3% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Grading edge

Buy raw, grade with PSA, sell as a slab. The upside if it grades PSA 10, after fee and turnaround.
+925%if it gems≈ $1,077.06 net per card
Raw cost$36.43
Grading fee$80.00
Gem rate44%break-even 4%
Slab market$1,200.00
If you grade it, it comes back…
GradeOddsSells forPSA 1044%$1,193.49PSA 936%$84.08PSA 813%$36.437 or lower7%$36.43
Averaged over those odds: ≈ $558.29 per slab, before selling fees.
Best case: the return if this card grades PSA 10, net of the $80.00 fee and a ~8-week turnaround haircut, before selling fees. 44% of copies submitted to PSA came back a 10, but submitted copies are hand-picked. Break-even is the chance of a 10 your copy needs for grading to pay on average.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
B+
65/100Solid hold

Lucario GX earns a 65/100 investment score and a B+ grade (solid hold). It's trading 37% below our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Forbidden Light by price. Grading a raw copy to PSA-10 currently pencils about 367% ROI. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day move▲ 6%
Grading edge+367%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
5.3
Scarcity
8.9
Stability
9.1
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