Rare Candy
Mega Evolution · #175 · UR$3.70fair value $1.25
▲ 196% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
Demand FadingDemand is softening. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+0%Sales−25%Listings−2%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$3.70▲ +$0.13 (+3.6%)past 90 days
$4.16$4.64$5.12$3.70
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $3.70 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −69% expected return.Raw $3.70 → PSA 10 $38.40 · 10.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$3.70———High
PSA10$38.4010.4×$38.40 · Oct 192High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 31% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$56.0015.1×$75.00 · Mar 310Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$15.004.0×$10.80 · Sep 211Med
TAG10$34.999.5×$34.99 · Jun 220Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate54.8%
PSA graded372
PSA 10
20454.8%
PSA 9
11530.9%
PSA 8
3810.2%
PSA 7
71.9%
6 & below
82.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC66 graded · 65.2% top · 29 Pristine
BGS9 graded · 0% top
SGC1 graded · 0% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings437429 sellers · +1% vs 7d
Sold / week28▼ 25.2% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -2%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 23Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
25/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Rare Candy earns a 25/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 196% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Mega Evolution by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day moven/a
Grading edge-73%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.2
Scarcity
3.5
Stability
7.1
