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Rare Candy — Scarlet & Violet #256
Pull rate1 in 324 packs
Cost to pull~$2,718
Released2023-03

Rare Candy

Scarlet & Violet · #256 · HR
$5.79fair value $3.18
▲ 82% overPriced above fair value.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−11%Sales+5%Listings+0%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$5.68▲ +$0.03 (+0.5%)past 90 days
$4.95$5.37$6.20$5.68
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $5.68 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −68% expected return.Raw $5.79 → PSA 10 $55.00 · 9.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$5.79———High
PSA10$55.009.5×$50.00 · Aug 110Med
CGC10$18.993.3×$29.99 · Mar 230Med
ACE10$47.368.2×$47.13 · Apr 250Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate35.9%
PSA graded889
PSA 10
31935.9%
PSA 9
40645.7%
PSA 8
11913.4%
PSA 7
343.8%
6 & below
111.2%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC236 graded · 44.1% top · 8 Pristine
BGS28 graded · 0% top
SGC53 graded · 37.7% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings300283 sellers · -7% vs 7d
Sold / week21▲ 5.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure7% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · +0%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 14Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid

Rare Candy earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 82% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Scarlet & Violet by price. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edge-73%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.3
Scarcity
5.8
Stability
8.9
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