Lillie's Determination
Mega Evolution · #184 · SIR$47.40fair value $34.96
▲ 36% overPriced above fair value.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−12%Sales+23%Listings−1%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$47.40▼ −$19.24 (−28.9%)past 90 days
$54$60$65$47.40
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $47.40 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −39% expected return.Raw $47.40 → PSA 10 $115.25 · 2.4×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$47.40———High
PSA10$115.252.4×$142.34 · Oct 2530High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 33% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$204.004.3×$140.50 · Oct 181High
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$84.991.8×$58.00 · Oct 209High
BGS10$440.009.3×$750.00 · Jun 140Low
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.9%
PSA graded11,914
PSA 10
5,94849.9%
PSA 9
4,77440.1%
PSA 8
1,0258.6%
PSA 7
1201%
6 & below
470.4%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC439 graded · 66.3% top · 215 Pristine
BGS355 graded · 0% top
SGC5 graded · 40% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings198186 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week18▲ 22.9% vs 30d
Demand pressure9% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -1%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 7Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
C
45/100Fair hold
S+SABCDF
Lillie's Determination earns a 45/100 investment score and a C grade (fair hold). It's trading 36% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades at a moderate pace.
30-day move▼ 14%
Grading edge-36%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
4.2
Scarcity
4.1
Stability
6.7
