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Wally's Compassion — Mega Evolution #186
Pull rate1 in 1,008 packs
Cost to pull~$9,132
Released2025-09

Wally's Compassion

Mega Evolution · #186 · SIR
$18.52fair value $9.81
▲ 89% overPriced above fair value.
Price Running AheadPrice is climbing without demand to support it. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+7%Sales−16%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$18.52▼ −$0.65 (−3.4%)past 90 days
$20.10$21.38$22.67$18.52
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $18.52 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −63% expected return.Raw $18.52 → PSA 10 $53.00 · 2.9×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$18.52———High
PSA10$53.002.9×$62.50 · Oct 193High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 28% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$64.993.5×$55.00 · Sep 110Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.881.2×$19.20 · Oct 195High
BGS10$70.003.8×$70.00 · Feb 50Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate51.7%
PSA graded2,437
PSA 10
1,25951.7%
PSA 9
91437.5%
PSA 8
1958%
PSA 7
241%
6 & below
451.8%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC147 graded · 51.7% top · 58 Pristine
BGS49 graded · 0% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings194187 sellers · +4% vs 7d
Sold / week12▼ 15.6% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 12Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
29/100Avoid

Wally's Compassion earns a 29/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 89% above our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. It trades thinly.

30-day move▼ 11%
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
3.9
Stability
7.3
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