Lt. Surge's Bargain
Mega Evolution · #185 · SIR$12.78fair value $14.15
▼ 10% underPriced about right, even a little cheap.
Market readSimilar cards →
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−9%Sales+11%Listings−4%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
Fair-Value Lab PremiumNudge the fundamentals and watch fair value respond. Explore scenarios for this card.
Start free trialPrice history
Raw priceRaw
$12.78▼ −$4.24 (−24.9%)past 90 days
$14.68$16.24$17.79$12.78
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $12.78 · Oct 27, 2026Grading
Grade ladder
Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −51% expected return.Raw $12.78 → PSA 10 $69.99 · 5.5×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$12.78———High
PSA10$69.995.5×$69.99 · Oct 166High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 26% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$72.105.6×$40.80 · Sep 281Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$25.102.0×$16.80 · Oct 54High
TAG10$95.007.4×$110.00 · Aug 310Med
Grade distribution
How copies sent to PSA have come back.Gem rate49.1%
PSA graded3,816
PSA 10
1,87249.1%
PSA 9
1,52239.9%
PSA 8
3469.1%
PSA 7
541.4%
6 & below
220.6%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.CGC164 graded · 68.3% top · 57 Pristine
BGS55 graded · 0% top
SGC4 graded · 0% top
Market
Supply & demand
How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.Raw
TCGplayer listings268262 sellers · -1% vs 7d
Sold / week11▲ 11.1% vs 30d
Demand pressure4% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -4%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.Sep 10Oct 27
Investment Score
One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
32/100Avoid
S+SABCDF
Lt. Surge's Bargain earns a 32/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 10% below our fair value. It's one of the pricier cards in Mega Evolution. Grading it to PSA-10 doesn't pencil at today's prices. It trades thinly.
30-day move▼ 17%
Grading edge-56%
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
2.1
Scarcity
4.2
Stability
7.0
