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Poppy — Obsidian Flames #227
Pull rate1 in 192 packs
Cost to pull~$2,342
Released2023-08

Poppy

Obsidian Flames · #227 · SIR
$2.48fair value $2.41
≈ at fairPriced about right.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice+2%Sales+8%Listings−6%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.48▼ −$0.57 (−18.7%)past 90 days
$2.77$3.07$3.36$2.48
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.48 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −73% expected return.Raw $2.48 → PSA 10 $52.53 · 21.2×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.48———High
PSA10$52.5321.2×$50.00 · Sep 120High
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 3.8% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$44.9918.1×$50.00 · Aug 110Med
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$22.208.9×$15.60 · Oct 261Med
SGC10$30.0012.1×$30.00 · May 240Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate22.6%
PSA graded1,501
PSA 10
33922.6%
PSA 9
73849.2%
PSA 8
34222.8%
PSA 7
664.4%
6 & below
161.1%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC586 graded · 24.7% top · 23 Pristine
BGS30 graded · 0% top
SGC94 graded · 18.1% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings345323 sellers · -2% vs 7d
Sold / week20▲ 8.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure6% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -6%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 11Oct 26
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid

Poppy earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 3% above our fair value. It's one of the lower-priced cards in Obsidian Flames. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
7.4
Stability
8.6
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