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Basic Fire Energy — Obsidian Flames #230
Pull rate1 in 156 packs
Cost to pull~$1,903
Released2023-08

Basic Fire Energy

Obsidian Flames · #230 · HR
$2.95fair value $2.72
▲ 8% overPriced about right, leaning rich.
StableNo material movement in price, demand, or supply. A description of the data today, not a forecast.
30 daysPrice−13%Sales−9%Listings−5%
Repriced 2026-10-28 · Fair value is descriptive, not a forecast
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Price history

Raw price
Raw
$2.95▼ −$0.65 (−18.1%)past 90 days
$2.77$3.24$3.70$4.17$2.95
Aug 1Aug 23Sep 14Oct 5Oct 27
Market price
Latest raw market price · $2.95 · Oct 27, 2026
Raw is the daily TCGplayer market price. Fair value is the model's own daily reading, archived since June 2026.

Grading

Grade ladder

Confidence (High / Med / Low) is how much recorded sale history backs the price. Low means only a few sales, so treat it as directional. Prices are eBay-sold medians; ×raw is the grading premium; sales count the last 30 days.
What this card sells for at each grade, and how many sales back each price.
SkipGrading a raw copy to PSA 10 pencils about −76% expected return.Raw $2.95 → PSA 10 $64.36 · 21.8×
GradePrice× RawLast saleSales 30dConfidence
—Raw$2.95———High
PSA10$64.3621.8×$74.99 · Aug 190Med
CGCPristine 10CGC 10 sales whose eBay listing says Pristine. The top CGC grade, so it can sell above a PSA 10. 1.6% of this card's graded CGC slabs are Pristine (population as of Oct 3), across everything CGC has graded, so it isn't the odds for your slab.$57.7219.6×$33.60 · Jun 80Low
CGC10Pristine 10 sales are left out and shown on their own line.$10.503.6×$9.50 · Jun 120Med
SGC10$5.001.7×$5.00 · Sep 101Low
Prices are eBay-sold medians; last sale is the most recent single sale; sales count the last 30 days. Confidence reflects the full sale history behind each price. Low-confidence rows rest on few sales, so treat them as directional.

Grade distribution

How copies sent to PSA have come back.
Gem rate22.4%
PSA graded1,203
PSA 10
27022.4%
PSA 9
58848.9%
PSA 8
27522.9%
PSA 7
594.9%
6 & below
110.9%
Other graders · as of Oct 2026
CGC358 graded · 22.1% top · 6 Pristine
BGS34 graded · 0% top
SGC59 graded · 16.9% top
PSA population from our own psacard.com read, Oct 4, 2026. Half grades count toward the grade below (a 9.5 is a 9). Other graders as of Oct 2026.

Market

Supply & demand

How many copies are for sale, and how fast they're selling.
Raw
TCGplayer listings385353 sellers · -5% vs 7d
Sold / week19▼ 9.3% vs 30d
Demand pressure5% · soft
softhot
Supply trendsteady · -5%
ClearingBuilding
TCGplayer sales · sold per day
Sep 10Oct 27
Supply is the TCGplayer listing count; demand pressure = weekly TCGplayer sales ÷ listings (soft → hot), a single-venue sell-through read. The supply-trend gauge reads eBay where we have it, with the TCGplayer listings trend surfacing as its history matures. Descriptive market context, not a forecast.

Investment Score

One grade for how durable this card's demand looks today.
Data snapshot, not a forecast
F
37/100Avoid

Basic Fire Energy earns a 37/100 investment score and an F grade (avoid). It's trading 8% above our fair value. It sits mid-pack in Obsidian Flames by price. It trades at a moderate pace.

30-day moven/a
Grading edgen/a
Time window30d
What drives the scoreout of 10, vs. modeled cards
Demand
1.8
Scarcity
7.4
Stability
8.6
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